Forecast: Hospital Discharges in Germany

From 2013 to 2023, hospital discharges in Germany exhibited fluctuations with a combination of growth and contraction periods. After steady growth from 2013 to 2019, a significant decline occurred in 2020 and 2021 due to extraordinary circumstances, presumably related to the COVID-19 pandemic. A rebound was observed in 2022, followed by further recovery into 2023 where discharges stood at 21.292 million.

Analyzing year-on-year variations:

  • 2013: 0.8% growth
  • 2014: 1.92% growth
  • 2015: 0.6% growth
  • 2016: 1.41% growth
  • 2017: -0.44% decline
  • 2018: -0.61% decline
  • 2019: 0.46% growth
  • 2020: -13.55% decline
  • 2021: -0.28% decline
  • 2022: 13.56% growth
  • 2023: 3.42% growth
Average annual change over the past five years (CAGR) was 0.34%.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Forecast data from 2024 to 2028 indicate a moderate yet consistent increase in hospital discharges with an average annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.47%.
  • Key factors to monitor include demographic changes, healthcare policies, and unforeseen events that may impact healthcare utilization and hospital capacity.

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