Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health in Brazil

From 2024 to 2028, the share of corresponding/leading authors in Brazilian scientific publications in pediatrics, perinatology, and child health shows a slight decreasing trend, starting at 96.9% in 2024 and edging down to 96.8% by 2028. Compared to 2023's value, the projected decrease is minimal, reflecting a stable authorship pattern over this period.

Year-on-year variations highlight a steady decrement in the share, maintaining nearly constant figures annually, with a CAGR indicating a marginal decline over the four-year forecast period. These values suggest consistency in authorship roles among Brazilian researchers in these fields.

Future trends to watch for include potential shifts due to increased collaboration, evolving bibliometric standards, or strategic academic exchanges, which could impact authorship structures in Brazilian scientific outputs.

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