From 2013 to 2023, the number of total mastectomies performed in Canada per hundred thousand women fluctuated with an overall declining trend. The most notable decreases occurred between 2018 and 2020, with the sharpest decline in 2020. Although there was a slight recovery in 2021 and stabilization through 2022, the number declined again in 2023 to 50.3 units.
For the years 2024 onwards, a steady decline is projected, with a 2028 forecast indicating a decrease to 35.2 units, driven by a forecasted negative CAGR of 5.7% over the next five years.
Future trends to watch for include advances in non-invasive treatments and early detection rates impacting mastectomy rates, as well as shifts in healthcare policies and surgical innovations that may alter the projected trajectory.
