Forecast: Influenza Mortality in Germany

The forecasted influenza mortality rates in Germany indicate a gradual increase from 3.0 deaths per hundred thousand persons in 2024 to 4.0 in 2028. The series suggests a year-on-year growth of 10% from 2024 to 2025, and 9.1%, 5.6%, and 5.3% in subsequent years. From 2023, where the rate was 2.8, the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) over five years is predicted at 7.45%.

Future trends to watch include the potential impact of enhanced vaccination programs, changing virus strains, and public health initiatives on these mortality rates. Seasonal variations and healthcare system adaptations could also significantly influence outcomes. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for accurate future assessments.

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