The import of rifles for sporting, hunting, or target-shooting into Japan is projected to experience a slight decline from 2024 through 2028, with values forecasted at 1.2 thousand in 2024, decreasing incrementally to 1.16 thousand by 2028. As of 2023, the value stood at 1.21 thousand. The year-on-year decrease is slight, starting from 0.83% in 2025 to 0.86% in 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 indicates a minimal decline annually.

Future trends to watch include:

Changes in regulations related to firearms importation and use in Japan.
Shifts in public interest in shooting sports and hunting activities.
Potential economic impacts influencing consumer spending in the sporting and hunting sectors.