The production of centrifugal raw sugar in Kenya has experienced significant fluctuations over the past decade. The value stood at 630.78 thousand metric tons in 2023. Notably, there was substantial growth from 2013 to 2015, followed by a sharp decline in 2016. The years 2017 to 2023 saw a general upward trend, albeit with minor year-on-year variations. Specifically, from 2018 to 2020, production decreased slightly, before picking up again through 2023. The average annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years was at a modest 0.18%.
Looking ahead, forecasts indicate a continuous increase in production through 2028, with an expected CAGR of 0.94%. By 2028, the production is projected to reach 669.38 thousand metric tons, reflecting a total growth of 4.77% from the current year.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Impact of climatic changes on sugarcane yield
- Technological advancements in sugar production
- Policy changes and their effects on the agricultural sector
- Market demand fluctuations and potential export opportunities
