The forecasted data indicates a consistent upward trend in the total number of 10% top-cited scientific publications in pediatrics in China from 2024 to 2028, starting at 8.53 publications in 2024 and reaching 13.41 in 2028. The year-on-year growth rates are approximately 14% from 2024 to 2025, 12.5% from 2025 to 2026, 11.1% from 2026 to 2027, and 9.8% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these five years stands at around 12.5%.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Collaboration with international institutions or initiatives could accelerate growth in the number of highly cited publications.
- Government funding policies and prioritization in pediatric research may influence the publication output and impact.
- Technological advancements in research methodologies could enhance the quality and citation impact of publications.
