The road freight transport volume for vehicles with a maximum permissible weight of at least 40,000 kg in Germany is forecasted to experience steady growth from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the sector's volume was below the 289.5 billion tonne-kilometers expected in 2024. The projected annual growth rates indicate increasing year-on-year variations: an increase of 4.3% from 2024 to 2025, 4.1% from 2025 to 2026, 3.8% from 2026 to 2027, and 3.6% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these five years is estimated at 4.0%.

Future trends to watch for:

Regulatory changes affecting road freight operations, especially concerning environmental and safety standards.
Technological advancements, such as autonomous driving or increased digitalization, that could impact the logistics sector's efficiency and capacity.
Economic variables, including trade and industrial production levels, which typically influence the demand for heavy road freight transport.