In 2023, the national annual road freight transport of food products, beverages, and tobacco loaded in border regions in the UK was recorded at 3.9 million metric tons. The forecast for 2024 is 3.41 million metric tons, representing a year-on-year decrease of approximately 12.6%. The decline continues with a forecasted 14.9% drop in 2025, followed by further reductions in subsequent years, reaching 1.41 million metric tons by 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 indicates an average annual decrease of around 19.5%.
Future trends to watch include potential shifts in trade dynamics post-Brexit, evolving consumer preferences towards local products, and sustainability drives influencing freight logistics. Additionally, advancements in transport technologies and regulatory changes may further impact this sector.