In 2023, the share of French scientific publications among the world’s 10% top-cited in AI stood at a key point. Forecasted data indicates a gradual decline from 7.6% in 2024 to 6.31% in 2028. This suggests a consistent year-on-year negative trend, showing decreases each year: -4.42% between 2024-2025, -4.40% between 2025-2026, and so on, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) decline overall across five years.

Future trends to watch:

Increased competition from emerging AI research hubs.
The potential impact of policy or funding changes on AI research output.
Transformation in publication dynamics due to global collaboration opportunities.