Forecast: Total Number of Scientific Publications in Artificial Intelligence in France

The total number of scientific publications in Artificial Intelligence in France exhibited fluctuations over the past decade. From 2013 to 2023, the annual change ranged from notable declines like -9.69% in 2015 to positive spikes such as 8.19% in 2021. The most recent data from 2023 shows a modest increase of 0.15% compared to 2022. Over the past five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is negligible at -0.0071%, indicating overall stability in publication volume.

Future trends to watch for include:

• The projected linear growth from 2024 onwards, with a forecasted CAGR of 0.06%, highlighting slight but consistent increases in publication volume.

• Potential impact of emerging AI subfields and interdisciplinary research areas, which may drive fluctuations or shifts not currently captured in the forecasted data.

• The influence of national research policies and funding priorities, which could alter the trajectory of AI publication trends in the coming years.

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