In 2023, Japan imported 1.7514 million kilograms of cigarette or pipe tobacco and tobacco substitute mixes. Forecasts indicate a consistent decline in imports over the next five years, with a year-on-year decrease of roughly 3.5% to 4% annually. By 2028, imports are expected to decrease to 1.5165 million kilograms. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the period from 2024 to 2028 is negative, indicating a contracting market for these imports.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of changing consumer preferences towards vaping and other smoking alternatives, potential regulatory changes impacting tobacco imports, and public health campaigns that may further suppress demand for traditional tobacco products.
