Forecast: Maternal Mortality Ratio (Modeled Estimates) in Brazil

From 2013 to 2019, Brazil's maternal mortality ratio showed minor fluctuations, generally maintaining a range between 59.0 to 63.0 deaths per 100,000 live births. The most notable deviation occurred in 2020 when the mortality ratio jumped by 18.03% compared to 2019. This elevated level persisted through 2023, where the value stood at 73.0 deaths per 100,000 live births, marking a 1.39% increase from the previous year. Over the last two years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) reached 4.35%, indicating a negative trend. However, the five-year forecast from 2024 to 2028 predicts the maternal mortality ratio to stabilize at 73.0 deaths per 100,000 live births, with no expected year-on-year variation, reflecting a 0% forecasted 5-year CAGR and a 0% 5-year growth rate.

Future Trends to Watch For:

  • The impact of public health interventions focused on maternal health.
  • Economic and social factors influencing maternal healthcare access.
  • The potential influence of emerging healthcare technologies and practices.
  • Effectiveness of policies implemented to address previous spikes in the maternal mortality ratio.