Forecast: Mortality Caused by Road Traffic Injury in Brazil

Between 2013 and 2023, Brazil saw a significant decline in mortality caused by road traffic injury, decreasing from 23.1 deaths per hundred thousand persons in 2013 to 14.4 in 2023. In 2023, the value stood at 14.4 deaths per hundred thousand persons. Year-on-year variations indicate a consistent downward trend, with a particularly sharp 11.86% drop in 2015. In recent years, the decline has slowed, with -2.70% in 2023. The five-year CAGR illustrates a steady average annual decrease of -3.38% from 2018 to 2023.

Future trends suggest a continued decline, albeit at a potentially slower pace, projected at an average rate of -2.92% per year from 2024 to 2028, culminating in a mortality rate of 11.9 by 2028. This represents a forecasted five-year growth rate of -13.77%. Watch for potential factors influencing these trends, such as improvements in road safety, vehicle safety technologies, and public awareness campaigns.