The forecast for the re-import of rifles used for sporting, hunting, or target shooting to the UK indicates a declining trend from 98.27 kg in 2024 to 47.82 kg by 2028. This represents significant year-on-year decreases: 13.2% in 2025, 15% in 2026, 17.2% in 2027, and 20.4% in 2028. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over this period is negative, indicating an average annual decline in imports.
Trends to watch include changes in UK regulations on firearms, shifts in consumer preferences towards alternative sports or leisure activities, and potential economic factors influencing disposable income and spending on leisure items like rifles.