Forecast: Number of Mobile Cellular Subscriptions in Kenya

The number of mobile cellular subscriptions in Kenya has shown substantial growth over the past decade, peaking at 122.79 subscriptions per hundred persons in 2021. Thereafter, a slight decline is observed, with values stabilizing around 121.92 in 2023. Year-on-year variations indicate fluctuations, including a notable peak in 2018 with a 13.29% increase and a marginal decrease in 2022. From a longer-term perspective, the five-year CAGR indicates an average annual growth of 4.23% up to 2023, with a forecasted slight decline by 2028, showing a negative average growth rate of -0.14%.

Looking ahead, key trends include the increasing penetration of 4G and 5G networks, rural market saturation, and the potential influence of regulatory changes and economic conditions on subscription rates. Monitoring the impact of mobile technology advancements and affordability will be crucial in understanding future subscription patterns.