Forecast: Mortality Caused by Road Traffic Injury in China

In 2023, the mortality rate due to road traffic injuries in China stood at 16.6 deaths per hundred thousand persons. The data indicates a consistent year-on-year reduction in mortality rates from 2013 to 2023, averaging an annual decrease of approximately -1% over the last five years (CAGR of -1.16%). This trend reflects successful measures in improving road safety. Notably, from 2022 to 2023, the year-on-year decline was -1.19%.

Looking ahead, the forecasted data for 2024-2028 suggests a continuation of this downward trend, with an estimated average annual reduction of -1%, leading to a projected mortality rate of 15.6 per hundred thousand persons by 2028. This represents a cumulative decrease of -4.88% over five years.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Implementation of advanced traffic management technologies
  • Enhanced safety regulations and stricter enforcement
  • Increased public awareness campaigns on road safety
  • Improvement in emergency response and medical facilities
  • Potential impact of growing adoption of autonomous vehicles