The forecast for road fatalities in built-up areas in Germany indicates a consistent decline from 962 fatalities in 2024 to 950 in 2028. Compared to 2023, which had 970 fatalities, 2024 shows a decrease of about 0.8%. From 2024 to 2025, the year-on-year decrease is approximately 0.3%, with this trend continuing in subsequent years. Over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) reflects an average annual decrease of around 0.31% in road fatalities.

Future trends to watch for include:

The impact of advanced vehicle safety technologies as they become more prevalent.
Urban planning and infrastructure enhancements aimed at increasing pedestrian and cyclist safety.
Policy changes targeting speed limits and traffic regulations in urban areas.