Forecast: Number of Road Casualties in Poland

In analyzing the forecasted number of road casualties in Poland from 2024 to 2028, starting with a baseline in 2023, there is a clear downward trend. The recorded casualties in 2023 were 36.67 thousand persons. The forecast for 2024 shows a minor decrease to 35.83 thousand persons. In 2025, the number further declines to 35.01 thousand persons, indicating a 2.3% reduction year-on-year. By 2026, the anticipated number is 34.21 thousand persons, a further 2.3% reduction. The trend continues in 2027 and 2028 with figures of 33.43 and 32.66 thousand persons, reducing by 2.3% each year respectively. Over the last two years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) demonstrates an average annual reduction of around 2.3%.

  • 2023: 36.67 thousand persons (actual)
  • 2024: 35.83 thousand persons (-2.3%)
  • 2025: 35.01 thousand persons (-2.3%)
  • 2026: 34.21 thousand persons (-2.3%)
  • 2027: 33.43 thousand persons (-2.3%)
  • 2028: 32.66 thousand persons (-2.3%)

Future trends to watch for include the impact of stricter traffic regulations, advancements in vehicle safety technologies, and infrastructure improvements. Additionally, public awareness campaigns and policy measures aimed at reducing road incidents could significantly influence these forecasts.

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