In 2023, the railway transport volume of food products, beverages, and tobacco in Germany was approximately 2.2 million metric tons. Forecast data from 2024 to 2028 indicate a gradual decline, decreasing from 2.15 million metric tons in 2024 to 2.09 million metric tons in 2028. This represents a year-on-year decrease of approximately 0.47% between 2024 and 2025, and 0.93% between 2025 and 2026. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for this forecast period suggests a slight but consistent contraction in volume, averaging about a 0.47% decline per year over the five-year forecast.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Consumer demand changes driven by dietary shifts or economic factors.
- Potential regulatory changes impacting railway transport efficiencies or costs.
- Technological advancements in supply chain and logistics offering improved efficiencies.
- Environmental considerations influencing transport modality preferences.