Forecast: Mortality Caused by Road Traffic Injury in Denmark

The data on mortality caused by road traffic injury in Denmark from 2013 to 2023 shows a general downward trend, with some fluctuations. From a stable rate of 3.5 deaths per hundred thousand persons from 2013 to 2015, the mortality rate slightly increased to 4.0 in 2016. This was followed by a notable decline in the subsequent years, dropping to a rate of 2.9 in 2023.

Year-on-year analysis for 2023 showed a decline of 6.45%, while the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the past five years stands at -1.95%. The forecast for the period from 2023 to 2028 suggests a further decline, with a CAGR of -4.71% and an overall forecasted reduction of 21.43% by 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

  • The continuous decline in road traffic mortality suggests improvements in vehicle safety standards, road infrastructure, and emergency response systems.
  • Innovations in autonomous vehicle technology and stricter enforcement of traffic regulations may further accelerate this downward trend.
  • Monitoring the impact of technological advancements and legislative changes on road safety will be crucial for predicting long-term trends.