In 2023, Germany's whole frozen Atlantic herring production for human consumption in capture fisheries stood at 1.63 thousand metric tons. The forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 indicates a significant decline. In 2024, the production is projected to be steady at 1.63 thousand metric tons, dropping to 1.22 thousand metric tons in 2025, a sharp 33.9% reduction by 2026 reaching 0.81 thousand metric tons, further to 0.41 thousand metric tons by 2027, and almost disappearing to 0.01 thousand metric tons by 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these five years shows a stark negative trend.
The declining trend highlights potential future challenges such as:
- Sustainability and conservation measures affecting capture quotas.
- Changing consumer preferences towards more sustainable or alternative seafood options.
- Market pressures influencing shifts in production and processing methods.