Forecast: Sorghum Production in Kenya

Kenya's sorghum production showed notable fluctuations between 2013 and 2023. It started at 168.86 Thousand Metric Tons in 2013 and increased to 299.17 Thousand Metric Tons by 2023. Particularly notable were the years 2018 and 2019, with significant jumps to 189.0 and 288.0 Thousand Metric Tons respectively. The year 2020 experienced a decline of 12.09%, but production resumed its upward trajectory from 2021 onwards, increasing by 3.7% in 2023. Over the past five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) was around 9.62%.

Forecasts from 2024 to 2028 indicate a continuation of this upward trend, with a projected CAGR of 2.68% and a total growth rate of 14.16% over five years, reaching 354.89 Thousand Metric Tons in 2028. This suggests sustained growth, albeit at a slower rate compared to the previous decade.

Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of climate change on agricultural yields, shifts in market demand for sorghum both locally and internationally, and the adoption of new farming technologies that could enhance productivity.

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