Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Artificial Intelligence in Brazil

In 2023, Brazil's share of scientific publications among the world's top 10% cited in artificial intelligence stood at an unspecified percentage. From 2024 to 2028, a downward trend is forecasted, with a year-on-year decline of approximately 5% each year. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five years is also negative, illustrating a consistent decrease in Brazil's prominence in high-impact AI research compared to global peers.

Future trends to watch for:

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Increasing international collaboration could help reverse this downward trend.

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Investment in AI education and infrastructure may enhance research quality and citation impact.

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A focus on niche AI innovations could distinguish Brazilian research in global publications.

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