In 2023, chronic liver diseases and cirrhosis mortality among males in Brazil stood at approximately 16.32 thousand deaths. The forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 suggests a gradual increase in mortality rates, rising from 16.47 thousand in 2024 to 17.04 thousand by 2028. This represents a steady year-on-year increase, averaging close to 0.9% per year. Over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028, the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) for these mortality rates is anticipated to be modest but consistent.
Future trends to watch for include the potential impact of public health interventions aimed at reducing liver diseases, changes in medical technology for early detection and better treatment options, as well as shifts in relevant socio-economic factors such as alcohol consumption and obesity rates. These factors could alter the trajectory of mortality rates in the coming years.
