The number of new and relapse tuberculosis cases in Japan is forecasted to decline from 10.63 thousand cases in 2024 to 7.5 thousand cases by 2028. This represents a year-on-year decrease of approximately 7.6% from 2024 to 2025, followed by a consistent downward trend averaging a 7.2% reduction annually over the five-year forecast period. As per data available up to 2023, actual figures stood at 11.45 thousand cases, reflecting a steady improvement in health conditions and TB control measures.
Future trends to watch for include heightened interventions in public health and vaccine developments, changes in healthcare policies, and the impact of potential viral mutations or co-infections that could affect TB incidence rates.
