Forecast: Long-term Residence Permits Given to Gambia Citizens in Italy

The forecast for long-term residence permits issued to Gambian citizens in Italy shows a gradual decline from 2024 to 2028, starting at 13 permits and dropping to 10. In 2023, actual data indicated 14 permits were issued. This equals a year-on-year decrease of approximately 7.1% from 2023 to 2024, then roughly stabilizing with smaller increments of decreases in subsequent years. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over this period is projected to indicate a consistent decline.

Future trends to watch include potential changes in immigration policies in Italy or EU-wide that could impact the number of long-term permits granted. Economic factors in both Italy and Gambia, as well as possible shifts in bilateral relations, could also play significant roles in influencing these numbers.