Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Health Professions in Brazil

The share of Brazil's scientific publications among the world's top 10% cited in health professions is forecasted to experience modest growth from 2024 to 2028, increasing from 6.58% to 6.61%. This indicates an average annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 0.11% over the five-year period, signifying steady but slow advancement. The value in 2023 was 6.57%, reflecting a continued upward trend.

Future trends to watch for:

• The impact of government and institutional investments in research and development on publication quality and global recognition.
• Collaborative initiatives with international health research institutes, potentially elevating the citation impact.
• The emergence of new health challenges that may redirect research focus and priorities.