Between 2013 and 2023, Italy's primary solid biofuels energy supply exhibited fluctuations, displaying both upward and downward trends. In 2013, the supply was 370.45 thousand terajoules, rising by 5.36% from the previous year. By 2014, it decreased by 8.83%, reflecting a significant drop. A moderate recovery occurred in 2015 with a 6.34% increase, followed by marginal year-on-year variations until 2023, where the supply reached 381.4 thousand terajoules. Over the last two years, the supply grew by 1.18% in 2022 and 1.46% in 2023. The five-year CAGR before forecasts averaged 1.37%.
Future trends suggest a steady rise in biofuels energy supply, with forecasted annual growth rates rising gradually. By 2028, the supply is expected to increase to 408.08 thousand terajoules, reflecting a five-year CAGR of 1.07% and an overall growth rate of 5.49%. It will be essential to monitor technological advancements, policy incentives, and potential market fluctuations that could impact this trajectory.
