Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Health Professions in the US

In 2023, the United States' share of scientific publications among the world's 10% top-cited publications in health professions stood at 11.32%. By 2024, the forecast predicts a slight decrease to 11.27%. The annual projected values continue to decline each year through 2028, reaching 11.11%. This reflects a gradual downward trend, with very minimal year-on-year variation.

Over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates a slight annual contraction. This trend suggests that while the US maintains a significant presence in top-cited health profession publications, its share is expected to experience a slow but steady decline.

Future trends to watch for include potential advancements in international research collaborations and shifts in funding priorities, which could influence the US's position in the global arena of scientific research publications.