The number of persons with pulmonary tuberculosis in China is forecasted to decrease steadily from 2024 to 2028. The number starts at 709.2 thousand persons in 2024 and is expected to drop to 620.25 thousand by 2028. This represents a consistent year-on-year reduction, with an average decline of around 2.6% annually. A Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the 5-year forecast period shows a robust declining trend, indicating effective control measures and advancements in healthcare interventions.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of new medical technologies, increased healthcare funding, and public health initiatives aimed at further reducing tuberculosis incidence. Monitoring socio-economic factors and urbanization trends can also provide insights into potential shifts in disease patterns.