As of 2024, France is projected to have approximately 2,270 bacteriologically confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis cases. Actual figures from 2023 indicate a similar trend, suggesting that the situation is relatively stable. The forecast data from 2024 to 2028 shows a marginal decline in cases from 2.27 to 2.25 thousand, with a year-on-year decrease of around 0.44% by 2028. Over the five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) implies a minimal downward trend in cases.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential impacts of enhanced public health interventions and screening programs on decreasing case numbers further.
- Monitoring changes in demographic factors and immigration patterns that may impact TB incidence rates.
- Assessing the potential influence of drug-resistant TB strains on future cases.
