Primary fruit production in the UK has shown a consistent upward trend from 2013 to 2023. In 2023, production stood at 808.12 thousand metric tons, reflecting a 2.42% year-on-year increase from 2022. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years was 2.43%, indicating moderate but steady growth. The highest growth occurred in 2013 with a notable spike of 55.26% year-on-year increase, whereas fluctuations and slight dips were recorded around 2017 and 2020.
Looking ahead, from 2024 onwards, the forecast indicates continued growth with an average annual increase projected at 1.83% CAGR until 2028. Notably, the total production is expected to reach 907.74 thousand metric tons by 2028, marking a cumulative growth rate of 9.49% over the forecast period.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in agricultural technologies, shifts in climate patterns, changes in consumer preferences for local produce, and potential impacts of trade policies. These factors could influence production capacity and efficiency, potentially altering the forecast growth trajectory.
