The production of organic pome fruits in the Netherlands has shown considerable fluctuation over the past decade. Starting at 9.77 thousand metric tons in 2015 and reaching 12.07 thousand metric tons by 2023, the sector has experienced both significant increases and drops. Notably, there were substantial positive year-on-year variations of 16.12% in 2016 and 22.27% in 2019, countered by significant drops such as -14.56% in 2017. The average annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2019 to 2023 was modest at 1.29%, with a noteworthy dip of -9.62% in 2020. 2023's value marks a 3.17% rise from the prior year.
Looking forward, the projected CAGR from 2024 to 2028 is estimated at 2.21%, indicating a steadier growth trajectory compared to the past decade. By 2028, the forecasted production is 13.87 thousand metric tons, a cumulative increase of 11.55% from 2024.
Trends to watch for:
- Impact of technological advancements in organic farming
- Shifts in consumer demand towards organic products
- Influence of climate change on crop yields
- Policy changes and subsidies promoting organic agriculture