The forecast for the share of top-cited agronomy and crop science publications from the US shows a declining trend over the next five years, starting at 9.62% in 2024 and falling to 8.12% by 2028. With a consistent decrease observed year-on-year, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is expected to reflect a negative trend, indicating a gradual reduction in the prominence of US-based publications in the global top 10% citation bracket.
Future trends to watch for:
- Potential impact of increased international research collaboration and competition on US publication shares.
- Changes in funding policies and research focus areas within the US agronomy and crop science sectors.
- Evolving citation practices and metrics which may redefine what constitutes the top 10% cited work.
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