The forecast for under-five deaths in China indicates a decreasing trend from 76,940 in 2024 to 29,470 in 2028. Comparing the year-on-year variation, the reductions are 17.6% from 2024 to 2025, 19.4% from 2025 to 2026, 22.1% from 2026 to 2027, and 25.9% from 2027 to 2028. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year period is approximately -20.7%, reflecting a significant annual decline in under-five mortality.

Future trends to watch for include:

Continual advancements in healthcare potentially driving further declines in child mortality rates.
Government policies and international collaborations aimed at improving maternal and child health in China.
Potential impacts of socio-economic changes on healthcare access and delivery.