In 2024, the forecasted net receipts of purchased aluminum old auto shredder scrap at secondary smelters in the US stand at 106.96 thousand metric tons. In subsequent years, this figure is expected to decline steadily, reaching 81.35 thousand metric tons by 2028. The year-on-year percentage reduction from 2024 to 2025 and onwards shows a consistent downward trend, averaging a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately -6.6% over the five-year forecast period.

Future trends to watch for include:

Innovations in recycling technologies that could alter scrap recovery rates.
Market dynamics in the automotive industry impacting scrap supply.
Regulatory changes affecting the recycling sector.
Sustainability initiatives potentially increasing demand for recycled materials.