Forecast: Alcoholic Beverages Import Volume in Turkey

The alcoholic beverages import volume in Turkey has shown variability over the last decade. Notable changes include a significant drop in 2016, followed by a peak in 2018. Another remarkable drop occurred in 2020, which was followed by substantial recovery in 2021. Through 2022 and 2023, the import volume stabilized with a year-on-year growth rate around 0.9%. As of 2023, Turkey's alcoholic beverages import volume stands at 111 thousand metric tons.

Looking at recent trends, the variation over the last two years shows a stabilization in the import volumes, while the last five-year CAGR indicates a slight growth trend of 0.55% annually. Future trends suggest a moderate yet steady increase, with a forecasted CAGR of 0.7% over the next five years, leading to a forecasted growth rate of 3.54% by 2028. This indicated a cautious optimism for consistent import volume growth in the sector.

Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of regulatory changes, economic shifts affecting consumer purchasing power, and evolving consumer preferences towards premium and health-conscious alcoholic beverages. Furthermore, global supply chain disruptions and trade policies may also influence future import volumes.