The forecast for the total number of 10% top-cited scientific publications in agronomy and crop science in the US indicates a gradual decline from 2024 to 2028. The initial projected value for 2024 stands at 182.17 publications, declining to 170.19 by 2028. This reflects a consistent downward trend with a modest year-on-year percentage decrease. The calculated compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period highlights a negative growth trajectory.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Innovations in agronomy and crop science that could potentially reverse the current declining trend.
- Impact of cross-disciplinary research on publication impact and citation frequency.
- Changes in funding levels for agronomy and crop science research which may influence publication frequency.
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