The share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications on infectious diseases in Canada is on a slightly declining trend from 89.23% in 2024 to 89.05% in 2028. In 2023, this share stood at a slightly higher level, showing that this modest decrease is a continuation of past trends. Year-on-year variation is subtly negative, indicating a consistent yet gradual reduction in lead authorship percentage. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for these forecasted years suggests a steady but slow decline. This could be influenced by increasing collaborative efforts and multi-authorship in this field.
Future trends to watch include potential shifts towards greater international collaboration, likely influencing author contributions, as well as the role of AI in research publication, which might change authorship dynamics. These factors could further affect the distribution of corresponding authorship roles in Canada.
