The forecast for unwrought aluminum and its alloys exports in China shows a consistent decline from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, actual exports stood at approximately 550 thousand metric tons. The year-on-year decrease begins with 1.1% drop in 2024 and continues decreasing each successive year at a similar rate. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028 indicates a steady negative trend in growth. Exports are predicted to diminish gradually with an average annual decline around 0.9% over this period.
Future trends to watch for include potential policy changes in China's aluminum production, shifts in global demand, and advancements in recycling technology. International trade agreements and environmental regulations may also significantly impact export volumes.