The fresh garlic import volume in the US grew significantly from 2013 to 2016, peaking at 651.99 million pounds in 2016. However, after this peak, imports showed a fluctuating decline, with notable drops in 2018 and 2019. Despite a slight recovery in 2020, the overall trend continued downward through to 2023, where imports stood at 281.78 million pounds. The year-on-year percentage changes show considerable volatility, with a sharp decrease post-2016, reflecting a less robust demand or possibly stronger domestic production.
For the forecasted period from 2024 to 2028, the trend projects a continued decline in fresh garlic imports, with a 5-year CAGR of -2.88% and an overall decrease of 13.6%. The projected volume by 2028 is 235.04 million pounds, indicating a steady drop in import dependency.
Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in consumer preferences towards locally-sourced produce, changes in trade policies impacting import logistics, or innovations in agricultural technology that could influence domestic garlic yields. Additionally, global supply chain changes and climatic conditions could further impact fresh garlic import volumes.
