Forecast: Polio Vaccine Third Dose (Pol3) Immunization Coverage in United Arab Emirates

The Polio Vaccine Third Dose (Pol3) immunization coverage in the United Arab Emirates has shown some fluctuations over the past decade. From 2013 to 2016, the coverage rate was relatively stable around 98-99%. A notable dip occurred in 2017 and again in 2019, with a more significant drop to 80% in 2020, likely impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the immunization rate has been recovering since, standing at 96% in 2023.

Looking at the year-on-year variations, there was a peak decline of 15.79% in 2020, followed by an 11.25% recovery in 2021. The overall Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the past five years has been -0.61%, indicating a slight downward trend. Moving forward, the forecast suggests a modest annual growth rate of 0.21% through 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

• Continued recovery of immunization rates post-pandemic.
• Government and public health interventions aiming to sustain and improve coverage.
• Potential impacts of global healthcare initiatives and local policy changes.