Forecast: Baccille Calmette Guérin Vaccine (BCG) Immunization Coverage in United Arab Emirates

The BCG immunization coverage in the United Arab Emirates has displayed variability over the years, moving between 86% and 99% from 2013 to 2023, with a notable dip to 86% in 2020 and remaining steady near that lower range since then. The year-on-year variations highlight fluctuations, with a sharp decrease of 8.51% in 2020 and a slight decline thereafter. The forecasted data projects a continuous but gradual decline, with the coverage expected to drop to 84% by 2028. The average CAGR over the past five years has been -1.97%, indicating a downward trend.

Future trends to watch for include the impact of healthcare policies to enhance immunization rates, potential public health challenges, and demographic shifts that could either mitigate or exacerbate the decline in coverage. Monitoring these factors will be essential for maintaining and potentially improving BCG immunization rates.