Forecast: Measles Immunisation in Sweden

The measles immunisation rate in Sweden has shown a stable trend with minor fluctuations between 97% and 98% from 2013 to 2021. In 2022, a notable decline to 92.5% occurred, but the rate rebounded to 96.3% in 2023. Variations over the last two years include a significant drop of 4.64% in 2022, followed by an increase of 4.11% in 2023. From 2021 to 2023, the rate showed a slight negative compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -0.14%. Forecasts from 2024 to 2028 indicate a stagnation at 96.3%, reflecting a zero growth trend in the future.

Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of public health policies, vaccine hesitancy, and possible outbreaks of measles which could influence immunisation rates. Monitoring these variables will be crucial for maintaining or improving immunisation coverage.