The forecasted production values of whole fresh blue mussel in the UK capture fisheries display a consistent decreasing trend from 2024 to 2028. Specifically, forecasted values from 2024 to 2028 show a steady decline from 648.87 to 555.42 thousand Euros. This downward trajectory reflects decreasing values each year, with no indications of short-term reversal in the coming years. An analysis of year-on-year variations indicates a decrease of around 3-4% annually during this period, contributing to a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) that confirms this negative trend.
Future trends to watch include:
- Potential impacts of climate change on mussel habitats, which could further influence production levels.
- Shifts in consumer demand, possibly driven by environmental awareness or alternative protein sources.
- Regulatory changes that may arise to promote sustainable fisheries and stock management.
- Technological advancements in aquaculture techniques that may counter declining capture fisheries output.