Kenya's avocado production has seen significant fluctuations over the years, with notable peaks and troughs shaping the landscape. In 2023, the volume stood at 395.07 thousand metric tons, reflecting a robust 4.41% year-on-year increase. Over the last five years (2018-2023), the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) was strong at 11.05%. Moving forward to 2024 and beyond, forecasts suggest a steady growth with a 5-year CAGR projected at 3.13%, totaling an estimated 482.21 thousand metric tons by 2028, representing a 16.65% overall growth rate.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Weather patterns and their impact on agricultural yields.
- Global demand trends and Kenya's market positioning.
- Investment in agricultural technologies and best practices.
- Government policies affecting export capabilities and market accessibility.