From 2013 to 2023, hospital discharges in Sweden have demonstrated a generally declining trend with occasional fluctuations. The number of hospital discharges decreased from 1.5369 million in 2013 to 1.2983 million in 2023, signifying an overall downward trend. The highest year-on-year decline was observed in 2020 at -6.1%, likely influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, while notable increases like the 1.71% growth in 2021 were short-lived. The last five years saw an annual average decline (CAGR) of -1.84%. Future forecasts indicate a continued decrease in discharges, with a five-year forecast CAGR of -1.34% and an expected total decline of approximately 6.54% by 2028.
Future trends to watch for:
- Impact of ageing population and chronic diseases on healthcare demand.
- Technological advances in healthcare and their impact on hospital stay duration.
- Policy changes or healthcare reform initiatives by the Swedish government.
- Potential resurgence or new strains of pandemics that may affect hospital discharge rates.