In 2023, Brazil's wine production was at 410 thousand metric tons. The forecasted production for 2024 shows a rise to 418.47 thousand metric tons, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 2.1%. The growth pace continues steadily, with 2025 expecting a 2.1% increase to 427.19 thousand metric tons, 2026 at 435.75 thousand metric tons (approx. 2%), and 2027 at 444.13 thousand metric tons (approx. 1.9%). By 2028, production should reach 452.35 thousand metric tons, maintaining an annual growth rate close to 1.9%, giving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period close to 2%.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of climate change on vineyard yields, evolving consumer preferences towards sustainable and organic wines, and trade agreements potentially increasing export opportunities. Additionally, technological advancements in viticulture could enhance productivity and quality in the coming years.