The demand for oranges and mandarins in Australia is projected to decline steadily over the next few years. In 2023, the demand stood at 297.0 thousand metric tons. Forecasts for 2024 to 2028 indicate a gradual year-on-year decrease, with values dropping from 295.0 thousand metric tons in 2024 to 288.0 thousand metric tons by 2028. The year-on-year variation shows a minor drop of 0.7% between 2024 and 2025 and a 1.0% decline from 2023 to 2024. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the next five years is calculated to be around -0.6%, reflecting an overall downtrend in demand.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of climate change on citrus production, changes in consumer preferences towards other fruits, and competition from international markets. Developments in agricultural technology and supply chain efficiencies could also play a role in moderating the declining demand.
